Stella vs Denguelé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
26.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
STE
0 - 0
HIR
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
STE
2 - 1
OUR
47%
28%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2010 |
JCA
0 - 1
STE
43%
28%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2010 |
SOA
1 - 2
STE
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2010 |
SAB
1 - 1
STE
43%
28%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Denguelé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
DEN
0 - 1
JCA
46%
28%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
BAS
3 - 1
DEN
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
DEN
1 - 1
AFA
45%
28%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2010 |
STA
0 - 3
DEN
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2010 |
DEN
2 - 2
HIR
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |