FCSB vs Universitatea Craiova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
25.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
4º
2º
40
2º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
46 | 17 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
40 | 13 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 12 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 10 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCSB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
STB
1 - 0
SSG
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
UTA
3 - 1
STB
24%
27%
49%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
STB
4 - 1
PET
75%
16%
9%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SCM
1 - 2
STB
21%
26%
53%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
STB
1 - 1
CSU
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Universitatea Craiova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
CSU
2 - 1
UTA
61%
24%
15%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
PET
0 - 1
CSU
21%
27%
52%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
CSU
1 - 0
SCM
66%
22%
12%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
VOL
1 - 0
CSU
29%
28%
43%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
STB
1 - 1
CSU
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |