Standard de Liège vs Union Saint-Gilloise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
63.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
8º
15º
10º
70
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Standard de Liège
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
STR
1 - 0
SDL
36%
27%
37%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
MET
2 - 2
SDL
42%
25%
33%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
SDL
1 - 1
HER
33%
24%
43%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
GEN
3 - 1
SDL
59%
23%
19%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
SDL
0 - 4
CER
41%
25%
34%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Union Saint-Gilloise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 0
AND
60%
22%
18%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 0
VAL
83%
12%
4%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 0
OOS
80%
14%
7%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
FEY
0 - 0
UNI
47%
23%
30%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
UNI
4 - 0
LIE
84%
12%
4%
|
87 | 60 | 27 | 0 |