Europa League Knock-outs Quarter-finals
Global 2-5
Standard de Liège vs Hamburger SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
45%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Standard de Liège
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
GNK
1 - 0
SDL
35%
27%
38%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
HSV
2 - 1
SDL
56%
25%
18%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
SDL
2 - 0
CHA
75%
16%
9%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
SDL
0 - 2
GEN
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2010 |
SDL
1 - 0
PAN
54%
25%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
HSV
0 - 0
HAN
63%
22%
15%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
HSV
2 - 1
SDL
56%
25%
18%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
MON
1 - 0
HSV
18%
22%
60%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
HSV
2 - 2
S04
40%
27%
33%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2010 |
AND
4 - 3
HSV
46%
24%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |