Stal Rzeszow vs Chrobry Głogów analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
23.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
8º
15º
13º
9
3º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
18 | 75 |
1º
|
91.5% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 57 |
2º
|
25% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 54 |
3º
|
12.5% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 52 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 52 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 50 |
6º
|
8.5% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 49 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 49 |
8º
|
8% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 48 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 48 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
17º
|
5 | 45 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 42 |
12º
|
7% | |
|
|
12º
|
8 | 41 |
13º
|
7.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 37 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
9 | 37 |
15º
|
11.5% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 35 |
16º
|
13.5% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 34 |
17º
|
17.5% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 32 |
18º
|
30% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
11.5% | 4% |
|
Mid-table
|
39% | 22% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
16.5% | 27.5% |
|
Relegation
|
32% | 46.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stal Rzeszow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2025 |
STA
2 - 1
SLA
41%
25%
34%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
PGM
2 - 1
STA
48%
23%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
STA
1 - 0
RYV
33%
26%
41%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2025 |
KOR
4 - 4
STA
47%
24%
29%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
GKS
3 - 0
STA
51%
23%
26%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Chrobry Głogów
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
CHR
0 - 1
TSP
30%
26%
44%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
CHR
3 - 0
ODR
44%
27%
30%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
ZAL
2 - 2
CHR
48%
24%
28%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
CHR
2 - 0
KJG
80%
14%
7%
|
72 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
CHR
2 - 2
SKO
44%
24%
32%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |