Stal Mielec vs Ruch Chorzów analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
37.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
10º
18º
12º
9
4º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
18 | 75 |
1º
|
91.5% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 57 |
2º
|
25% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 54 |
3º
|
12.5% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 52 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 52 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 50 |
6º
|
8.5% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 49 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 49 |
8º
|
8% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 48 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
|
10º
|
9 | 48 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
17º
|
5 | 45 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
8 | 42 |
12º
|
7% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 41 |
13º
|
7.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 37 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 37 |
15º
|
11.5% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 35 |
16º
|
13.5% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 34 |
17º
|
17.5% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 32 |
18º
|
30% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1.5% | 3% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
12.5% | 26.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
47.5% | 53% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
19% | 9% |
|
Relegation
|
19.5% | 8.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stal Mielec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2025 |
GKS
0 - 1
STA
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2025 |
STA
2 - 1
ODR
47%
27%
26%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2025 |
LKS
2 - 0
STA
45%
25%
31%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
STA
1 - 1
GOR
33%
27%
40%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
STA
1 - 3
POL
37%
28%
35%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ruch Chorzów
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2025 |
RCH
1 - 1
TSP
46%
26%
29%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2025 |
RCH
4 - 0
STA
50%
25%
26%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2025 |
POL
0 - 0
RCH
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2025 |
RCH
0 - 2
POG
60%
23%
18%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
SLA
3 - 1
RCH
36%
27%
37%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |