Staines Town vs Merthyr Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
27.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Staines Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
STA
1 - 4
WEY
20%
21%
60%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
STA
3 - 5
HAR
53%
20%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
SAL
3 - 2
STA
68%
17%
15%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
EGH
1 - 0
STA
19%
20%
61%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
POO
0 - 2
STA
56%
21%
23%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Merthyr Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
HAR
1 - 1
MER
57%
20%
23%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
MER
1 - 4
WIN
55%
22%
23%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
MER
2 - 2
MET
43%
23%
34%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
MEL
1 - 4
MER
24%
20%
57%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
WAL
1 - 3
MER
65%
18%
18%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +2 |