FA Cup .
Global 0-4
Stafford Rangers vs Tividale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
19%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stafford Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
KID
0 - 6
RFC
25%
23%
52%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
RFC
0 - 2
COA
17%
21%
63%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 2
RFC
29%
23%
49%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
LEE
2 - 0
RFC
65%
20%
15%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
RFC
3 - 1
MIC
24%
22%
54%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Tividale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
NOR
0 - 1
TIV
53%
22%
25%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
TIV
1 - 3
MIC
20%
20%
60%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
CHA
0 - 0
TIV
64%
19%
16%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
TIV
2 - 1
SHE
32%
22%
46%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
TIV
3 - 0
COA
11%
18%
71%
|
22 | 50 | 28 | +2 |