FA Trophy . 1/256
Global 6-3
Stafford Rangers vs Newcastle Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
30.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stafford Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
NEW
1 - 1
RFC
46%
23%
32%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
CHA
0 - 1
RFC
48%
24%
28%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
RFC
1 - 1
MIC
48%
24%
28%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
ASH
1 - 5
RFC
58%
21%
21%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
NOR
0 - 1
RFC
72%
17%
10%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Newcastle Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
NEW
1 - 1
RFC
46%
23%
32%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2011 |
ROM
1 - 0
NEW
36%
24%
40%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
STA
3 - 2
NEW
41%
23%
36%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
NEW
1 - 0
WOD
62%
19%
19%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2011 |
NEW
0 - 1
SUT
42%
24%
34%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |