Non League Div One Northern North Round 39

Stafford Rangers vs Gresley analysis

Stafford Rangers Gresley
43 ELO 23
-5.9% Tilt -16.3%
8881º General ELO ranking 10559º
392º Country ELO ranking 555º
ELO win probability
78.8%
Stafford Rangers
14.4%
Draw
6.8%
Gresley

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.8%
Win probability
Stafford Rangers
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
6.8%
Win probability
Gresley
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Stafford Rangers
-18%
+43%
Gresley

ELO progression

Stafford Rangers
Gresley
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Stafford Rangers
Stafford Rangers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Mar. 2016
CHA
Chasetown
1 - 0
Stafford Rangers
RFC
33%
27%
40%
44 35 9 0
26 Mar. 2016
RFC
Stafford Rangers
3 - 0
Tividale
TIV
81%
13%
6%
44 23 21 0
19 Mar. 2016
RFC
Stafford Rangers
1 - 1
Stocksbridge Park Steels
STO
72%
17%
11%
44 30 14 0
12 Mar. 2016
STO
Stocksbridge Park Steels
1 - 2
Stafford Rangers
RFC
30%
26%
45%
43 33 10 +1
05 Mar. 2016
RFC
Stafford Rangers
5 - 2
Loughborough Dynamo FC
LOU
82%
13%
5%
44 20 24 -1

Matches

Gresley
Gresley
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Mar. 2016
COA
Coalville Town
1 - 0
Gresley
GRE
78%
14%
8%
24 37 13 0
26 Mar. 2016
GRE
Gresley
0 - 2
Carlton Town
CAR
50%
24%
26%
25 24 1 -1
22 Mar. 2016
GRE
Gresley
1 - 4
Romulus
ROM
47%
24%
29%
26 26 0 -1
19 Mar. 2016
NEW
Newcastle Town
2 - 0
Gresley
GRE
55%
22%
23%
27 30 3 -1
15 Mar. 2016
GRE
Gresley
1 - 3
Rugby Town
RUG
24%
23%
53%
28 36 8 -1