Stade Rennais vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
25.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stade Rennais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
NAN
0 - 1
REN
25%
25%
50%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
AUG
2 - 3
REN
23%
24%
53%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
CAE
1 - 2
REN
16%
23%
61%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
SCF
1 - 0
REN
38%
25%
37%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
LIL
2 - 2
REN
35%
27%
39%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
MUD
2 - 2
ASV
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
BRI
0 - 1
ASV
23%
26%
51%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
ASV
1 - 0
LEE
53%
23%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
WAL
0 - 4
ASV
11%
20%
70%
|
84 | 51 | 33 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
MAC
3 - 2
ASV
85%
11%
5%
|
84 | 95 | 11 | 0 |