Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Winterthur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
34.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
10º
12º
12º
49
4º
12º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
LUG
2 - 3
STA
61%
23%
17%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
STA
4 - 0
BUL
84%
11%
5%
|
68 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
THU
0 - 1
STA
46%
24%
30%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
STA
1 - 3
YOB
18%
22%
61%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
YVE
2 - 1
STA
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
WIN
3 - 3
SER
24%
23%
53%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2024 |
WIN
4 - 0
RAP
68%
18%
14%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2024 |
WIN
3 - 2
LIV
55%
22%
23%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2024 |
WIN
0 - 2
VOL
51%
22%
28%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2024 |
WIN
4 - 2
HER
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |