National Round 3

Stade Briochin vs Avranches analysis

Stade Briochin Avranches
62 ELO 55
-6.7% Tilt -10.1%
2147º General ELO ranking 3430º
58º Country ELO ranking 70º
ELO win probability
59.4%
Stade Briochin
23.6%
Draw
17%
Avranches

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
Stade Briochin
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
17%
Win probability
Avranches
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Stade Briochin
+38%
-16%
Avranches

Points and table prediction

Stade Briochin
Their league position
Avranches
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
18º
15º
45
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Concarneau
62
63
100%
USL Dunkerque
62
62
100%
Red Star
60
60
100%
FC Martigues
60
60
100%
Versailles
51
51
100%
Villefranche
46
46
0%
Avranches
45
46
0%
CS Sedan
46
46
0%
Cholet
45
45
100%
Orléans
10º
44
44
10º
100%
Chateauroux
11º
44
44
11º
100%
Le Mans
12º
43
43
12º
100%
Nancy
13º
41
42
13º
100%
Bourg-Péronnas
14º
40
40
14º
100%
Stade Briochin
15º
38
38
15º
100%
Le Puy
16º
35
35
16º
100%
Paris 13 Atletico
17º
31
31
17º
100%
FC Borgo
18º
26
26
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Stade Briochin
Avranches
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Stade Briochin
Avranches
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Stade Briochin
Stade Briochin
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Aug. 2022
GOB
Paris 13 Atletico
1 - 1
Stade Briochin
STA
27%
29%
45%
63 56 7 0
12 Aug. 2022
STA
Stade Briochin
2 - 2
Red Star
RED
41%
27%
32%
63 62 1 0
05 Aug. 2022
QUE
QRM
0 - 2
Stade Briochin
STA
44%
26%
31%
63 63 0 0
22 Jul. 2022
STA
Stade Briochin
1 - 2
Concarneau
CON
43%
25%
32%
63 63 0 0
15 Jul. 2022
AVR
Avranches
1 - 0
Stade Briochin
STA
33%
25%
42%
63 55 8 0

Matches

Avranches
Avranches
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Aug. 2022
AVR
Avranches
1 - 2
Chateauroux
CHA
31%
27%
41%
54 61 7 0
12 Aug. 2022
CHO
Cholet
3 - 0
Avranches
AVR
48%
24%
28%
56 55 1 -2
29 Jul. 2022
AVR
Avranches
1 - 2
Concarneau
CON
32%
24%
43%
55 63 8 +1
23 Jul. 2022
AVR
Avranches
4 - 2
QRM
QUE
30%
24%
46%
55 63 8 0
15 Jul. 2022
AVR
Avranches
1 - 0
Stade Briochin
STA
33%
25%
42%
55 63 8 0