1. Division Normal Season Round 16

Stabæk vs Moss analysis

Stabæk Moss
71 ELO 65
0.8% Tilt 20%
1531º General ELO ranking 1750º
22º Country ELO ranking 26º
ELO win probability
59%
Stabæk
22.9%
Draw
18.1%
Moss

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
Stabæk
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.1%
Win probability
Moss
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Stabæk
-13%
-13%
Moss

Points and table prediction

Stabæk
Their league position
Moss
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
53
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Valerenga IF
69
69
100%
Bryne
58
58
100%
Moss
53
53
100%
Egersund
47
47
100%
Lyn 1896 FK
46
46
100%
Kongsvinger
44
44
100%
Stabæk
42
42
100%
Raufoss IL
41
41
100%
Aalesunds FK
40
40
100%
Ranheim
10º
39
39
10º
100%
Åsane
11º
37
37
11º
100%
IK Start
12º
35
35
12º
100%
Sogndal
13º
34
34
13º
100%
Mjøndalen IF
14º
32
32
14º
100%
Levanger
15º
29
29
15º
100%
Sandnes Ulf
16º
17
17
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Stabæk
Moss
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Stabæk
Moss
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Stabæk
Stabæk
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Jul. 2024
RAU
Raufoss IL
0 - 0
Stabæk
STB
25%
23%
52%
72 62 10 0
13 Jul. 2024
STB
Stabæk
3 - 3
Sogndal
SOG
53%
23%
24%
72 65 7 0
23 Jun. 2024
STB
Stabæk
1 - 0
Levanger
LEV
46%
25%
28%
71 68 3 +1
16 Jun. 2024
IKS
IK Start
4 - 3
Stabæk
STB
26%
24%
50%
72 61 11 -1
12 Jun. 2024
STB
Stabæk
4 - 2
Mjøndalen IF
MJO
63%
22%
15%
71 59 12 +1

Matches

Moss
Moss
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Jul. 2024
MOS
Moss
1 - 0
Kongsvinger
KON
33%
25%
42%
63 66 3 0
23 Jun. 2024
ASA
Åsane
1 - 4
Moss
MOS
41%
25%
34%
62 59 3 +1
16 Jun. 2024
MOS
Moss
1 - 0
Bryne
BRY
37%
26%
37%
61 64 3 +1
09 Jun. 2024
VIF
Valerenga IF
5 - 1
Moss
MOS
72%
18%
10%
61 76 15 0
01 Jun. 2024
MOS
Moss
1 - 0
Aalesunds FK
ELP
47%
25%
28%
61 58 3 0