Q. Europa League Preliminary Round Final
Global 5-1
Stabæk vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
15.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stabæk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
SOG
2 - 0
STB
29%
24%
47%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2002 |
SKE
1 - 5
STB
17%
21%
62%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2002 |
BRY
2 - 1
STB
29%
24%
47%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2002 |
STB
3 - 2
MOS
70%
18%
12%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2002 |
STB
2 - 1
BOG
61%
21%
19%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
OMA
1 - 1
LIN
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
LIN
3 - 2
OMA
61%
22%
18%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
GLE
2 - 0
LIN
33%
27%
41%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
LIN
0 - 0
CRU
70%
19%
11%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2002 |
COL
0 - 2
LIN
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |