St. Philbert de Grand Lieu vs Change analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
31.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
9º
14º
11º
16
9º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
91.5% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 47 |
3º
|
91.5% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 40 |
6º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 39 |
7º
|
56.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
70.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
79.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
62.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 22 |
13º
|
75.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
75.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
20.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
79.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Philbert de Grand Lieu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
LEM
4 - 2
SPG
60%
20%
20%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SPG
0 - 3
LPS
26%
23%
51%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ACP
4 - 0
SPG
58%
20%
23%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SPG
4 - 2
SAB
31%
23%
46%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ESO
2 - 1
SPG
82%
11%
7%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Change
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 2
ESO
10%
16%
74%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 3
LAV
25%
24%
51%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 3
FON
24%
24%
53%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 2
LEM
35%
23%
42%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
1 - 0
CHA
59%
20%
21%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |