St. Peter vs SC Retz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
49.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+86%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Peter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
SCH
1 - 0
STP
66%
19%
15%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
STP
3 - 1
ARD
31%
24%
45%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
LAN
1 - 1
STP
44%
23%
32%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
STP
0 - 2
STP
36%
23%
41%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
WUR
1 - 3
STP
48%
22%
30%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SC Retz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
SCR
4 - 1
GAF
53%
22%
25%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
LEO
0 - 0
SCR
25%
23%
52%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
WAI
2 - 0
SCR
13%
19%
68%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
SCR
2 - 2
SCH
59%
21%
20%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ARD
2 - 1
SCR
20%
23%
57%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -2 |