Saint-Pauloise vs Sainte-Marienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
60.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Pauloise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
TBF
1 - 0
PAU
67%
17%
16%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
EXC
2 - 0
PAU
73%
17%
10%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
PAU
1 - 0
MAR
12%
20%
68%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | +4 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
JEA
2 - 0
PAU
78%
14%
8%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
PAU
0 - 2
SDF
22%
23%
55%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Sainte-Marienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 0
SDE
80%
15%
6%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 1
ASS
79%
15%
6%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
PAU
1 - 0
MAR
12%
20%
68%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 3
VER
56%
23%
22%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
MAR
3 - 0
SDE
79%
15%
6%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | 0 |