Saint-Pauloise vs Marsouins analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
29.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Pauloise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
PAU
0 - 3
ASS
48%
22%
30%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
SAI
3 - 4
PAU
67%
19%
14%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
PAU
1 - 0
SDF
27%
23%
50%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | +3 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
PIE
6 - 0
PAU
79%
15%
6%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
PAU
1 - 1
PET
53%
22%
24%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Marsouins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 0
SAI
23%
24%
54%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
SDF
2 - 2
MAR
68%
19%
13%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 5
PIE
11%
20%
68%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
LOU
0 - 1
MAR
60%
20%
20%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 2
JEA
16%
23%
61%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -2 |