Reúnion League Round 4

Saint-Pauloise vs Marsouins analysis

Saint-Pauloise Marsouins
32 ELO 32
-13.3% Tilt -9.3%
9371º General ELO ranking 11445º
Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
48.9%
Saint-Pauloise
24.5%
Draw
26.6%
Marsouins

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
Saint-Pauloise
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
26.6%
Win probability
Marsouins
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Saint-Pauloise
+46%
-29%
Marsouins

ELO progression

Saint-Pauloise
Marsouins
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Saint-Pauloise
Saint-Pauloise
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Apr. 2012
PAU
Saint-Pauloise
2 - 1
Rivière-Sports
SRS
46%
24%
30%
32 32 0 0
01 Apr. 2012
MAR
Sainte-Marienne
1 - 2
Saint-Pauloise
PAU
48%
25%
27%
32 32 0 0
25 Mar. 2012
PAU
Saint-Pauloise
0 - 1
Jeanne d'Arc
JEA
48%
24%
28%
32 32 0 0
13 Nov. 2011
TAM
Stade Tamponnaise
0 - 2
Saint-Pauloise
PAU
54%
23%
23%
32 32 0 0
05 Nov. 2011
PAU
Saint-Pauloise
1 - 0
AS Excelsior
EXC
51%
24%
25%
32 32 0 0

Matches

Marsouins
Marsouins
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Apr. 2012
MAR
Marsouins
0 - 0
Jeanne d'Arc
JEA
46%
24%
29%
32 32 0 0
31 Mar. 2012
SRS
Rivière-Sports
2 - 1
Marsouins
MAR
51%
23%
26%
32 32 0 0
25 Mar. 2012
MAR
Marsouins
1 - 2
Stade Tamponnaise
TAM
53%
24%
23%
32 31 1 0
13 Nov. 2011
MAR
Marsouins
5 - 1
AS Excelsior
EXC
48%
25%
27%
32 32 0 0
06 Nov. 2011
BEN
Bénédictins
0 - 3
Marsouins
MAR
49%
24%
27%
31 31 0 +1