FC St Pauli vs Wattenscheid 09 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
16%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 1978 |
WAB
2 - 4
STP
36%
26%
38%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1978 |
STP
1 - 4
KFC
57%
21%
22%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 1978 |
STP
3 - 0
BAY
70%
17%
13%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 1978 |
AAA
0 - 0
STP
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1978 |
STP
0 - 5
KOL
25%
24%
51%
|
68 | 89 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Wattenscheid 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 1978 |
WAT
0 - 2
WUP
61%
22%
18%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1978 |
OSN
1 - 1
WAT
59%
21%
20%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1978 |
MSV
4 - 3
WAT
74%
15%
11%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1978 |
WAT
2 - 0
HOL
78%
14%
8%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1978 |
WUP
3 - 2
WAT
59%
22%
20%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |