FC St Pauli vs Heidenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
29.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
SGD
1 - 1
STP
23%
24%
53%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
STP
3 - 1
KSC
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2022 |
FCU
2 - 1
STP
54%
24%
23%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
ING
1 - 3
STP
20%
24%
57%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
STP
0 - 3
HAN
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Heidenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
HEI
2 - 1
BRE
24%
23%
54%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
DAR
3 - 2
HEI
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
HEI
1 - 1
SVS
57%
24%
20%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2022 |
SGD
1 - 1
HEI
31%
27%
42%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
HSV
2 - 0
HEI
54%
23%
22%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |