FC St Pauli vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1975 |
STP
2 - 1
DJK
78%
14%
8%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1975 |
WAT
2 - 0
STP
48%
24%
28%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1975 |
STP
1 - 1
BVB
53%
24%
24%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1975 |
AAA
2 - 2
STP
25%
23%
52%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1975 |
STP
1 - 1
FCM
81%
13%
6%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1975 |
PRE
2 - 1
KÖL
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1975 |
KÖL
2 - 0
USO
73%
17%
10%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1975 |
SSV
1 - 3
KÖL
17%
24%
59%
|
70 | 40 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1975 |
KÖL
1 - 0
ERK
85%
11%
4%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1975 |
ISC
1 - 1
KÖL
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |