FC St Pauli vs Phönix Lübeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
7.4%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1971 |
OSV
2 - 1
STP
19%
23%
58%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1971 |
STP
2 - 1
AHA
76%
17%
8%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1971 |
ROT
2 - 1
STP
70%
15%
15%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1971 |
TBR
1 - 2
STP
26%
27%
48%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1971 |
STP
2 - 1
ITZ
76%
16%
8%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Phönix Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1971 |
FCP
2 - 2
AHA
56%
24%
21%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1971 |
ITZ
1 - 0
FCP
52%
24%
24%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1971 |
FCP
3 - 1
POB
68%
20%
12%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1971 |
WOL
1 - 0
FCP
74%
16%
10%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1971 |
FCP
0 - 0
ISC
39%
25%
36%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |