FC St Pauli vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.2%
6.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1975 |
BAR
0 - 6
STP
19%
24%
58%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1975 |
HAN
0 - 1
STP
63%
20%
17%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1975 |
WAB
1 - 2
STP
46%
23%
31%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1975 |
STP
1 - 0
KFC
67%
19%
14%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1975 |
FCM
2 - 0
STP
23%
21%
55%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1975 |
AAA
2 - 1
DJK
48%
24%
28%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1975 |
WAT
1 - 0
AAA
72%
17%
11%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1975 |
AAA
4 - 0
ERK
62%
21%
17%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1975 |
WOL
2 - 3
AAA
55%
22%
22%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1975 |
AAA
2 - 2
OSN
34%
27%
39%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +1 |