St. Pauli II vs VfB Oldenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
32.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Pauli II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2014 |
EIB
2 - 2
STP
36%
24%
40%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
STP
2 - 0
EIC
69%
17%
13%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2014 |
MEP
0 - 4
STP
57%
22%
21%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
STP
3 - 1
BSV
47%
23%
30%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
STP
0 - 3
EIN
54%
22%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
VfB Oldenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
VFB
0 - 1
HAM
65%
19%
16%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
HAN
3 - 2
VFB
39%
24%
37%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
VFB
4 - 1
WIL
74%
17%
9%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
WOL
1 - 1
VFB
62%
22%
17%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
HAV
2 - 1
VFB
50%
23%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |