St. Pauli II vs VfB Lübeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
44.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Pauli II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
HAV
3 - 1
STP
54%
23%
23%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
STP
0 - 0
MEP
43%
24%
34%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
STP
1 - 0
FTB
88%
9%
3%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
STP
1 - 1
VFR
72%
17%
11%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
HAN
2 - 0
STP
41%
24%
35%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
VfB Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
LUB
0 - 4
BSV
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
EIB
2 - 2
LUB
33%
24%
43%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
GOS
3 - 0
LUB
25%
24%
51%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
LUB
3 - 0
CLO
67%
20%
14%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
WER
1 - 1
LUB
57%
22%
21%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |