St. Pauli II vs Phönix Lübeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
24.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Pauli II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
HEI
1 - 0
STP
18%
21%
62%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
STP
1 - 3
OTT
52%
23%
26%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
EIN
2 - 2
STP
51%
23%
26%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
STP
0 - 1
HAM
64%
20%
16%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -2 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
LUB
3 - 0
STP
57%
24%
20%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Phönix Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
FCP
0 - 0
DRO
33%
25%
42%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
FCP
2 - 3
HOL
56%
20%
25%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
HEI
2 - 3
FCP
24%
21%
55%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
FCP
0 - 0
OTT
42%
23%
34%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
EIN
4 - 0
FCP
60%
20%
20%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -2 |