St. Pauli II vs Phönix Lübeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
16.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Pauli II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
ALT
1 - 2
STP
22%
23%
54%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
STP
2 - 1
DRO
40%
26%
34%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
LSK
3 - 1
STP
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
STP
0 - 4
WEI
28%
25%
47%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
HOL
1 - 0
STP
39%
24%
38%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Phönix Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
DRO
3 - 0
FCP
61%
21%
18%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
FCP
0 - 1
WEI
20%
22%
58%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
HEI
0 - 3
FCP
19%
19%
61%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
FCP
0 - 3
EIN
39%
23%
38%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
OTT
2 - 0
FCP
52%
22%
25%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |