St Patrick's vs UC Dublin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
11.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2013 |
BOH
0 - 2
STP
24%
28%
47%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2013 |
SAL
2 - 3
STP
12%
22%
66%
|
77 | 41 | 36 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2013 |
SHE
0 - 3
STP
19%
27%
54%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2013 |
STP
0 - 0
SHR
51%
26%
23%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2013 |
DRO
1 - 2
STP
40%
27%
32%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
UC Dublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2013 |
DUN
2 - 3
UCD
54%
24%
23%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2013 |
UCD
1 - 1
LIM
18%
23%
58%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2013 |
DER
2 - 4
UCD
72%
19%
10%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2013 |
UCD
1 - 0
BOH
32%
27%
41%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2013 |
SHE
2 - 0
UCD
51%
23%
25%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |