Q. Europa League 1st Qualifying Round Final
Global 1-4
St Patrick's vs Skonto Riga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
28.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2015 |
FCS
2 - 1
STP
48%
24%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2015 |
STP
3 - 0
LON
68%
20%
12%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2015 |
STP
3 - 1
LIM
75%
17%
8%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2015 |
STP
3 - 1
BOH
61%
23%
16%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2015 |
DER
0 - 3
STP
27%
28%
46%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Skonto Riga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2015 |
FCS
2 - 1
STP
48%
24%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
FCS
1 - 1
VEN
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2015 |
FCS
4 - 0
FSM
80%
14%
6%
|
77 | 51 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2015 |
FCS
1 - 0
FKJ
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
FCS
1 - 0
LIE
58%
24%
19%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |