SPL Round 32

St. Mirren vs Kilmarnock analysis

St. Mirren Kilmarnock
68 ELO 71
-13.8% Tilt -6.6%
582º General ELO ranking 524º
11º Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
36.3%
St. Mirren
30%
Draw
33.6%
Kilmarnock

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.3%
Win probability
St. Mirren
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.9%
30%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
33.7%
Win probability
Kilmarnock
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
St. Mirren
+7%
+2%
Kilmarnock

ELO progression

St. Mirren
Kilmarnock
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

St. Mirren
St. Mirren
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Mar. 2012
DUN
Dunfermline Athletic FC
1 - 1
St. Mirren
STM
45%
26%
30%
67 60 7 0
21 Mar. 2012
STM
St. Mirren
0 - 2
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
33%
29%
38%
68 77 9 -1
17 Mar. 2012
STM
St. Mirren
0 - 3
St. Johnstone
STJ
37%
29%
34%
69 72 3 -1
10 Mar. 2012
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
2 - 2
St. Mirren
STM
62%
22%
16%
68 76 8 +1
03 Mar. 2012
HIB
Hibernian FC
0 - 0
St. Mirren
STM
44%
26%
30%
69 65 4 -1

Matches

Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Mar. 2012
KIL
Kilmarnock
2 - 0
Motherwell
MHE
41%
26%
33%
71 77 6 0
18 Mar. 2012
CEL
Celtic
0 - 1
Kilmarnock
KIL
77%
15%
8%
70 83 13 +1
10 Mar. 2012
ICT
Inverness CT
1 - 1
Kilmarnock
KIL
53%
26%
22%
69 69 0 +1
03 Mar. 2012
KIL
Kilmarnock
0 - 0
St. Johnstone
STJ
49%
25%
26%
70 72 2 -1
25 Feb. 2012
KIL
Kilmarnock
1 - 3
Hibernian FC
HIB
65%
20%
15%
71 63 8 -1