Scottish Premiership PlayOff Descenso round 1

St. Mirren vs Hibernian FC analysis

St. Mirren Hibernian FC
67 ELO 64
-3.6% Tilt 1.7%
619º General ELO ranking 456º
11º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
51.3%
St. Mirren
25.5%
Draw
23.3%
Hibernian FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
St. Mirren
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
23.3%
Win probability
Hibernian FC
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
St. Mirren
+2%
+24%
Hibernian FC

ELO progression

St. Mirren
Hibernian FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

St. Mirren
St. Mirren
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Apr. 2014
STM
St. Mirren
3 - 2
Motherwell
MHE
29%
27%
44%
66 75 9 0
29 Mar. 2014
ICT
Inverness CT
2 - 2
St. Mirren
STM
61%
22%
17%
66 74 8 0
25 Mar. 2014
STM
St. Mirren
0 - 1
St. Johnstone
STJ
33%
29%
38%
66 75 9 0
22 Mar. 2014
CEL
Celtic
3 - 0
St. Mirren
STM
75%
17%
8%
67 83 16 -1
15 Mar. 2014
DUN
Dundee United
3 - 2
St. Mirren
STM
72%
18%
10%
67 79 12 0

Matches

Hibernian FC
Hibernian FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Apr. 2014
HIB
Hibernian FC
0 - 2
Aberdeen
ABE
28%
27%
45%
65 79 14 0
30 Mar. 2014
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
2 - 0
Hibernian FC
HIB
45%
26%
29%
66 64 2 -1
22 Mar. 2014
STJ
St. Johnstone
2 - 0
Hibernian FC
HIB
59%
24%
18%
67 74 7 -1
15 Mar. 2014
PAR
Partick Thistle
3 - 1
Hibernian FC
HIB
46%
27%
28%
67 66 1 0
12 Mar. 2014
ICT
Inverness CT
0 - 0
Hibernian FC
HIB
62%
22%
16%
67 74 7 0