St. Mirren vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
31.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
STM
0 - 0
DUN
28%
25%
47%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
DUN
2 - 1
STM
31%
28%
41%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
STM
1 - 2
CEL
26%
25%
49%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
STM
2 - 0
HOM
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
STJ
1 - 0
STM
48%
27%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
HIB
0 - 0
HOM
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2013 |
HOM
2 - 0
STJ
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
HOM
1 - 2
MHE
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
STM
2 - 0
HOM
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
HOM
2 - 3
ICT
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |