SPL Round 5

St. Mirren vs Falkirk analysis

St. Mirren Falkirk
70 ELO 64
7.7% Tilt -4.8%
585º General ELO ranking 440º
11º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
62.1%
St. Mirren
21%
Draw
16.8%
Falkirk

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
St. Mirren
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
16.8%
Win probability
Falkirk
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
St. Mirren
+7%
-1%
Falkirk

ELO progression

St. Mirren
Falkirk
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

St. Mirren
St. Mirren
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Jan. 1969
PAR
Partick Thistle
0 - 2
St. Mirren
STM
61%
22%
17%
68 74 6 0
02 Jan. 1969
STM
St. Mirren
2 - 1
Arbroath
ARB
77%
15%
8%
68 53 15 0
01 Jan. 1969
KIL
Kilmarnock
0 - 0
St. Mirren
STM
78%
15%
7%
68 83 15 0
28 Dec. 1968
STM
St. Mirren
1 - 1
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
22%
23%
55%
67 83 16 +1
21 Dec. 1968
STM
St. Mirren
1 - 0
Clyde
CLY
26%
25%
49%
66 82 16 +1

Matches

Falkirk
Falkirk
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Jan. 1969
FAL
Falkirk
0 - 1
Hibernian FC
HIB
19%
23%
59%
66 83 17 0
02 Jan. 1969
AIR
Airdrieonians
1 - 1
Falkirk
FAL
73%
17%
11%
65 75 10 +1
01 Jan. 1969
FAL
Falkirk
4 - 1
Greenock Morton
GRE
33%
27%
40%
64 74 10 +1
21 Dec. 1968
ABE
Aberdeen
2 - 0
Falkirk
FAL
82%
13%
5%
64 83 19 0
14 Dec. 1968
FAL
Falkirk
0 - 0
Celtic
CEL
16%
22%
62%
64 83 19 0