St. Mirren vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
QOS
1 - 0
STM
48%
25%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
STM
1 - 0
QOS
46%
25%
28%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
STM
3 - 1
ALL
70%
19%
12%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
HIB
3 - 1
STM
70%
19%
11%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2016 |
STM
1 - 2
PAR
26%
26%
48%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
GRE
2 - 0
DUM
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
DUM
0 - 0
DUN
22%
22%
56%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
DUM
1 - 0
LIV
50%
23%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
RAI
0 - 0
DUM
54%
23%
24%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
DUM
2 - 1
QOS
36%
25%
39%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |