St. Mirren vs Aberdeen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
35.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1978 |
STM
0 - 0
GLA
26%
21%
53%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1978 |
HOM
1 - 1
STM
56%
26%
19%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1978 |
GLA
3 - 2
STM
76%
15%
9%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1978 |
CEL
2 - 1
STM
76%
16%
8%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1978 |
STM
1 - 3
DUN
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Aberdeen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1978 |
ABE
7 - 1
HAM
85%
11%
4%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1978 |
ABE
4 - 1
CEL
48%
23%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1978 |
HAM
0 - 1
ABE
29%
24%
48%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1978 |
ABE
1 - 1
PAR
72%
17%
10%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1978 |
ABE
3 - 0
MAR
71%
16%
13%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | +1 |