St Michel United vs Lightstars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
20.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St Michel United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 2
MIC
40%
23%
38%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2023 |
MIC
1 - 1
BBR
66%
17%
17%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
COT
1 - 0
MIC
49%
21%
30%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
MIC
4 - 0
NDY
48%
22%
30%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
LSU
2 - 0
MIC
40%
23%
37%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lightstars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
LIG
1 - 4
LSU
46%
22%
32%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
LIG
4 - 1
FOR
40%
23%
37%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
RST
0 - 0
LIG
26%
20%
54%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
BBR
2 - 1
LIG
28%
21%
51%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
LIG
1 - 0
ARE
53%
22%
26%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |