St. Michael vs Ferlach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7%
16%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
74.3%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.4%
0-4
6%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.6%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Michael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
MAT
5 - 0
MIC
81%
13%
7%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
MIC
0 - 3
KMD
19%
24%
57%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
MSA
3 - 1
MIC
87%
9%
4%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
MIC
1 - 2
ASW
41%
22%
37%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
SVL
1 - 2
MIC
60%
19%
20%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ferlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
FLC
2 - 0
KAC
59%
19%
22%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
MAT
1 - 3
FLC
42%
22%
36%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
FLC
2 - 2
WOL
53%
22%
25%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
KMD
2 - 2
FLC
44%
23%
33%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
FLC
2 - 1
SVJ
70%
16%
14%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |