St. Louis Lions vs Thunder Bay Chill analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
61.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
9%
1-3
7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Louis Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2019 |
STL
0 - 0
KCF
34%
22%
44%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
DES
3 - 1
STL
80%
14%
6%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2018 |
WSA
3 - 4
STL
10%
15%
75%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2018 |
WSA
0 - 4
STL
12%
16%
73%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
THU
0 - 1
STL
84%
11%
5%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Thunder Bay Chill
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2019 |
KCF
3 - 1
THU
26%
24%
51%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
THU
2 - 1
KCF
69%
19%
13%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
THU
0 - 1
STL
84%
11%
5%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
THU
1 - 2
STL
85%
10%
5%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2018 |
CFC
1 - 1
THU
31%
25%
44%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |