St. Louis Lions vs Thunder Bay Chill analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
56.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Louis Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
STL
3 - 0
CIN
55%
20%
25%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2017 |
SPR
0 - 1
STL
37%
24%
39%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
STL
2 - 2
SPR
56%
22%
22%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
STL
3 - 2
CFC
18%
23%
59%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | +3 |
| 08 Jun. 2017 |
SPR
0 - 2
STL
50%
23%
27%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Thunder Bay Chill
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2017 |
SPR
0 - 0
THU
14%
21%
65%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
THU
4 - 1
WSA
93%
6%
2%
|
49 | 17 | 32 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
THU
5 - 0
WSA
93%
6%
2%
|
49 | 17 | 32 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
DES
1 - 0
THU
40%
24%
36%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2017 |
CFC
1 - 1
THU
32%
24%
44%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |