SPL Normal Season Round 9

St. Johnstone vs Kilmarnock analysis

St. Johnstone Kilmarnock
76 ELO 64
-10.6% Tilt -6.4%
1215º General ELO ranking 526º
18º Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
62%
St. Johnstone
23.1%
Draw
14.9%
Kilmarnock

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62%
Win probability
St. Johnstone
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
14.9%
Win probability
Kilmarnock
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
St. Johnstone
+6%
+2%
Kilmarnock

ELO progression

St. Johnstone
Kilmarnock
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

St. Johnstone
St. Johnstone
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Oct. 2016
ROS
Ross County FC
0 - 2
St. Johnstone
STJ
46%
26%
28%
75 72 3 0
25 Sep. 2016
HAM
Hamilton Academical
1 - 1
St. Johnstone
STJ
28%
28%
44%
76 64 12 -1
22 Sep. 2016
ABE
Aberdeen
1 - 0
St. Johnstone
STJ
45%
27%
28%
76 78 2 0
17 Sep. 2016
STJ
St. Johnstone
1 - 0
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
42%
28%
31%
76 77 1 0
10 Sep. 2016
PAR
Partick Thistle
0 - 2
St. Johnstone
STJ
38%
28%
35%
75 69 6 +1

Matches

Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Oct. 2016
KIL
Kilmarnock
0 - 4
Aberdeen
ABE
25%
26%
49%
64 79 15 0
24 Sep. 2016
CEL
Celtic
6 - 1
Kilmarnock
KIL
82%
12%
6%
64 83 19 0
17 Sep. 2016
KIL
Kilmarnock
2 - 2
Partick Thistle
PAR
47%
26%
27%
64 68 4 0
10 Sep. 2016
DUN
Dundee
1 - 1
Kilmarnock
KIL
58%
23%
19%
64 70 6 0
26 Aug. 2016
KIL
Kilmarnock
1 - 1
Rangers
GLA
28%
26%
47%
64 75 11 0