Scottish League Cup Quarter-finals
Global 0-7
St. Johnstone vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
40.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1954 |
FOR
3 - 3
STJ
35%
23%
42%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1954 |
HAM
0 - 0
STJ
37%
22%
41%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1954 |
STJ
3 - 1
STE
72%
15%
14%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1954 |
STJ
4 - 2
FOR
73%
14%
13%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 1954 |
STJ
2 - 0
HAM
80%
12%
8%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1954 |
HIB
2 - 3
HOM
58%
19%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1954 |
HOM
5 - 4
PAR
67%
17%
16%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1954 |
HOM
3 - 2
CEL
73%
15%
12%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1954 |
HOM
4 - 1
FAL
83%
11%
7%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1954 |
DUN
4 - 1
HOM
52%
21%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |