St. Johnstone vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
24.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2001 |
CEL
3 - 0
STJ
76%
16%
8%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
DUN
0 - 0
STJ
48%
26%
27%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
STJ
2 - 3
DUN
52%
26%
23%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2001 |
STJ
2 - 2
STM
63%
23%
14%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2001 |
STJ
0 - 3
ABE
46%
26%
27%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2001 |
DUN
5 - 2
MHE
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
DUN
0 - 0
STJ
48%
26%
27%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
DUN
1 - 2
MHE
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
DUN
1 - 0
DUN
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2001 |
DUN
1 - 2
STM
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |