St. Johnstone vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.7%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.7%
15.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1937 |
GRE
3 - 2
STJ
43%
22%
36%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1937 |
STJ
1 - 5
GLA
46%
23%
31%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1937 |
TLA
0 - 5
STJ
58%
19%
22%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1937 |
STJ
3 - 0
STM
70%
16%
14%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1937 |
STJ
2 - 0
HIB
71%
16%
13%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1937 |
AYR
0 - 1
ARB
59%
20%
21%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1937 |
ARB
3 - 3
ABE
19%
19%
61%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1937 |
HOM
4 - 1
ARB
82%
11%
7%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1937 |
QUE
1 - 1
ARB
54%
21%
26%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1937 |
ARB
1 - 2
CLY
49%
22%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |