St. Johann vs Hard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
25.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Johann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
SCH
2 - 0
STJ
30%
25%
45%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
STJ
0 - 1
USC
70%
17%
13%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
TSV
1 - 3
STJ
36%
25%
39%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
STJ
2 - 2
KUF
65%
19%
16%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
SWB
3 - 2
STJ
23%
23%
54%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | -2 |
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
USC
0 - 2
HAR
43%
23%
34%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
HAR
1 - 2
KUF
56%
21%
24%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
FCW
2 - 1
HAR
47%
22%
31%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
HAR
3 - 0
DOR
53%
22%
25%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
SCR
1 - 2
HAR
33%
24%
43%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |