St George Willawong vs The Lakes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
30.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St George Willawong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
BAY
3 - 2
GEO
27%
21%
52%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
GEO
1 - 0
NEW
54%
22%
24%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
GEO
4 - 1
TOO
78%
13%
9%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
ACA
3 - 2
GEO
16%
17%
67%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | -2 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
WES
1 - 3
GEO
7%
12%
82%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
The Lakes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
STO
0 - 1
TLA
10%
14%
76%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
TLA
4 - 1
MGH
90%
7%
3%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
UNI
2 - 4
TLA
10%
15%
76%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
TLA
0 - 0
ACA
84%
10%
6%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
MGH
0 - 1
TLA
9%
14%
77%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |