St. George Saints vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
50.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. George Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
SUT
1 - 1
SGS
29%
25%
46%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
SGS
2 - 2
MAR
29%
28%
44%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
MDT
0 - 2
SGS
23%
24%
53%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
ROC
3 - 1
SGS
68%
19%
13%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2025 |
SGS
1 - 0
SYD
37%
24%
38%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2025 |
SYD
2 - 6
API
23%
22%
55%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
API
1 - 0
BLA
45%
24%
31%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
NWS
1 - 0
API
34%
25%
41%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
API
5 - 0
CCM
71%
18%
12%
|
61 | 38 | 23 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
WOL
0 - 2
API
24%
23%
54%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +2 |