St. Gallen vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
12.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2002 |
STG
1 - 1
WIL
61%
21%
18%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2002 |
SER
2 - 0
STG
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2002 |
WIL
1 - 0
STG
46%
24%
30%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2002 |
STG
0 - 3
ZUR
61%
22%
17%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2002 |
TOF
0 - 6
STG
29%
27%
45%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2002 |
FCL
3 - 0
DEL
44%
24%
32%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2002 |
YOB
2 - 2
FCL
65%
19%
15%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2002 |
WIL
2 - 2
FCL
66%
19%
15%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2002 |
FCL
3 - 3
THU
42%
25%
34%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
LAU
1 - 0
FCL
66%
19%
15%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |