St. Gallen vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
34.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
FCL
3 - 0
STG
54%
23%
22%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
STG
3 - 0
NEX
45%
24%
31%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
SIO
2 - 2
STG
56%
23%
20%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
STG
1 - 3
THU
32%
24%
44%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
BAS
1 - 1
STG
71%
18%
11%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
LUG
1 - 1
BAS
17%
21%
62%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
ZUR
0 - 1
LUG
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
THU
3 - 2
LUG
54%
23%
23%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
LUG
0 - 1
YOB
16%
20%
64%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
FCL
0 - 3
LUG
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |